Implied Dissent

Thursday, July 03, 2014

More HL

When the government actively requires people to take actions it will inevitably run up against deeply and sincerely held moral beliefs. They may be wrong, irrational, annoying, and/or anachronistic, but at some point they will be your beliefs that are put on the spot. "Government that is big enough to give everything you need and want is also strong enough to take it away." I'm no fan of Hobby Lobby, and don't like that religions are getting special treatment, but these types of conflicts are inevitable given the direction policy has and is going.

Wednesday, July 02, 2014

Hobby Lobby

I find it odd that a lot of people who often and loudly (often correctly) complain about sexism are characterizing this as men on one side and women (and some men) on the other, when there are numerous women who think this was decided correctly, and/or that contraception isn't really what insurance should be for. Also, I object to the name-calling I see because I don't think the government should be deciding who gets what benefits, whether that's women or men. Someone (e.g., me) can be pro-woman, pro-contraception, a-religious, and anti these mandates. I'm unsure if this was the right decision, but I hope it causes people to think about some important issues, such as that when the government actively requires people to do things, it will necessarily start running up against deeply held moral beliefs of all sorts. Also, what is the proper role of insurance and how should we be getting it?

Monday, June 16, 2014

Or maybe it's the other way around

I love how Democrats' arguments for hiking minimum wage laws mirror the Bush administration's arguments for invading Iraq. "If you disagree with me, then you're [anti-poor/pro-terrorist]!"

Thursday, June 05, 2014

NBA 2014 Finals

Well, finally got one all right, at least on winners. Sweet.

So we've got the San Antonio Spurs with home-court advantage over the Miami Heat. Remember that they switched back to the 2-2-1-1-1 format this year. It will either be Spurs in 7, or Heat in 6. I think the wily old legs prevail. Spurs 4-3.

Saturday, May 17, 2014

NBA Playoffs 2014, Round 3

All high seeds won in round 2, so it's #1 vs. #2 in both conferences. I called 3 out of 4 winners correctly, one in the right number of games. Onto Round 3.

Round 3
Eastern Conference
#1 Indiana Pacers against #2 Miami Heat. The Pacers are definitely looking better, but not enough. The Heat are looking great. How long it goes depends on when Miami gets one in Indy. Heat 4-2.

Western Conference
#1 San Antonio Spurs against #2 Oklahoma City Thunder. Both teams are worthy. Tony Parker's injury makes me a little nervous to take the Spurs, but the Thunder are a little too hit-or-miss and dependent on their stars. Spurs 4-3.

NBA Finals
Spurs with home-court against the Heat. I think the Western champs are most likely to win it all, but that the Heat are the team most likely to win. Reversing my philosophy from a round ago, taking the Spurs due to home-court. Spurs 4-3.

Sunday, May 04, 2014

Happy Star Wars Day

The 4th will be with you, always.
Also, for the record, I invented that. Not "May the 4th be with you", but rather calling it Star Wars Day.

NBA Playoffs 2014, Round 2

That was a great Round 1 (from an on-the-court perspective). I called 6 series winners right (one in the right number of games), and the two I had wrong I had going 7 games. Onto Round 2.

Round 2
Eastern Conference
#1 Indiana Pacers against #5 Washington Wizards. Hibbert did look a lot better in game 7, so there's a flicker of hope, but I have little confidence in the Pacers right now. Wizards 4-2.
#2 Miami Heat against # 6 Brooklyn Nets. It will be closer than it looks in retrospect. Heat 4-1.

Western Conference
#1 San Antonio Spurs against #5 Portland Trail Blazers. Color me impressed with Beervana, but still sticking with SA. Spurs 4-2.
#2 Oklahoma Thunder against #3 Los Angeles Clippers. If they could make it through the Sterling fiasco, they can make it through anything, so definitely have them as a legit contender, just not the favorite. Thunder 4-3.

Round 3
Eastern Conference
#2 Miami Heat against #5 Washington Wizards. This will be easy. Heat 4-1.

Western Conference
#1 San Antonio Spurs against #2 Oklahoma Thunder. I'll take Spurs because they're more likely to be there, but could easily see any of three make it out of the West, and could be talked into the 4th.

NBA Finals
Spurs with home-court against the Heat. Another case of taking the team most likely to get there, but home-court could definitely be an issue. Heat 4-3.

Saturday, April 19, 2014

2013-14 NBA season predictions in review

Yuck. See my prediction post here, and actual results here. Big letdown from the previous year.
Overall I went 11-19 picking the over/under. On my favorite picks, 1-4. I can blame bad luck, but I know I had some good luck last year, so the two-year totals are probably fairly representative. That would be 32-28 total, and 7-4 on my top picks.
I nailed two teams exactly (Indiana and Boston), was off by 1 on two (Cleveland and Atlanta), and was off by 2 or 3 on four. I wildly blew it on New York, Milwaukee, Toronto, Charlotte, Denver, Portland, and Phoenix. Average miss was an atrocious 8.5.

Friday, April 18, 2014

NBA Playoffs 2014

I'd say the Eastern Conference is a 1.5 team race, and that there are 4 teams that could win the West. Like before I'll give predictions for all rounds now, but only take my Round 1 picks at all seriously (and even those don't take very seriously). I don't think any of my picks are particularly surprising, but maybe I'm wrong (hopefully only on that dimension).

Round 1
Eastern Conference
#1 Pacers against #8 Hawks. The Pacers are scuffling a bit, but are definitely better than Atlanta. Pacers 4-1.
#2 Heat against #7 Bobcats. Big Al might win them one game, but the Heat cruise. Heat 4-1.
#3 Raptors against #6 Nets. An interesting matchup. Old vs. young. Kidd's first playoff coaching experience. The Nets played well the last couple of months, the Raptors have played well since excising Rudy Gay (clearly they weren't ready for a Gay player. Thank you, I'll be here all week, folks). Nets 4-2.
#4 Bulls against #5 Wizards. Don't overlook either team. Bulls 4-3.

Western Conference
#1 Spurs against #8 Mavericks. The Spurs are much better, all due respect to Captain Dirk. Spurs 4-1.
#2 Thunder against #7 Grizzlies. The Grizz have played really well lately, but I'm still a Durantula believer, and Westbrook is close to his old self. Nice matchup of different styles. Thunder 4-3.
#3 Clippers against #6 Warriors. This will be the most fun series, expect a ton of scoring. No Bogut, though, means no Warriors advancing. Clippers 4-1.
#4 Rockets against #5 Trail Blazers. I may be selling them short, but I don't totally buy the Trail Blazers. Rockets 4-3.

Round 2
Eastern Conference
#1 Pacers against #4 Bulls. Wouldn't be shocked at all if the Bulls win this. Pacers 4-3.
#2 Heat against #6 Nets. Probably the toughest opponent in terms of matchups for the Heat. Still the Heat are better. Heat 4-2.

Western Conference
#1 Spurs against #4 Rockets. I give the Rockets a very real chance, but they have to show it. Spurs 4-3.
#2 Thunder against #3 Clippers. Thunder 4-3.

Round 3
Eastern Conference
#1 Pacers against #2 Heat. Maybe the Pacers will get it together by this point and win it, but it sure doesn't look that way now. Heat 4-2.

Western Conference
#1 Spurs against #2 Thunder. Very conflicted about this matchup. I'll go with the Spurs, due to the slightly easier path. Spurs 4-3.

NBA Finals
Spurs with home-court against the Heat. Rematch. Heat are more likely to make it, so I'll take them, but it's close to 50-50 for this series or for a Heat-Thunder one. Heat 4-3.

NFL Playoffs 2014, recap

A little late, but here's the quick recap. I went 6-5 picking winners, 4-5-2 against the spread. Meh.

Sunday, February 02, 2014

Superbowl 2014

Almost forgot to post this, will do a recap later. I'm predicting Seattle 24, Broncos 23.

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Sunday, January 19, 2014

NFL Playoffs 2013-14, Round 3

Better last week, though not good enough. 3-1 picking winners, 2-2 against the spread, so so far I’m 4-4 and 2-4-2.

Round 3
New England Patriots at Denver Broncos, Broncos favored by 5.5. If the Broncos make it shootout, they will win. However, the Pats are much better against the pass than the run, and their running games has become really good. So I expect both teams to run it quite a lot. So it will go under, and Pats pull it out. Patriots 28, Broncos 27.


San Francisco 49ers at Seattle Seahawks, Seahawks favored by 3.5. I like SF and think they’re right up there with all these teams. Given that defense, it wouldn’t shock me at all if they win it all. However, maybe it’s an illusion, but Seattle seems to matchup really well with them, and are a great home team. Expect a slugfest. A defensive TD (or close to it) could determine this one. Seahawks 19, 49ers 13.